Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.025103 0.027185 0.029274 0.031522 0.033871 0.036248 0.038832
2025-08-17 0.020816 0.024066 0.027448 0.031212 0.035268 0.039491 0.044207
2025-08-24 0.018285 0.022183 0.026347 0.031090 0.036309 0.041843 0.048127
2025-08-31 0.016243 0.020582 0.025324 0.030835 0.037003 0.043645 0.051287
2025-09-07 0.014669 0.019346 0.024567 0.030740 0.037755 0.045404 0.054301
2025-09-14 0.013088 0.017972 0.023542 0.030240 0.037960 0.046478 0.056487
2025-09-21 0.011711 0.016739 0.022592 0.029744 0.038098 0.047416 0.058464
2025-09-28 0.010314 0.015387 0.021421 0.028917 0.037790 0.047792 0.059759
2025-10-05 0.009860 0.015167 0.021576 0.029629 0.039249 0.050170 0.063314
2025-10-12 0.009249 0.014707 0.021405 0.029923 0.040193 0.051938 0.066158
2025-10-19 0.008471 0.013980 0.020866 0.029737 0.040541 0.052993 0.068164
2025-10-26 0.008123 0.013800 0.020992 0.030350 0.041832 0.055140 0.071429
2025-11-02 0.007358 0.013056 0.020425 0.030151 0.042213 0.056306 0.073668
2025-11-09 0.006590 0.012271 0.019785 0.029854 0.042480 0.057356 0.075804
2025-11-16 0.005967 0.011644 0.019313 0.029735 0.042938 0.058612 0.078163
2025-11-23 0.005355 0.010985 0.018762 0.029486 0.043211 0.059628 0.080224
2025-11-30 0.004852 0.010450 0.018352 0.029394 0.043661 0.060841 0.082510
2025-12-07 0.004267 0.009741 0.017663 0.028907 0.043589 0.061404 0.084003
2025-12-14 0.003737 0.009074 0.017000 0.028424 0.043500 0.061927 0.085432
2025-12-21 0.003169 0.008288 0.016124 0.027619 0.042969 0.061884 0.086160
2025-12-28 0.003048 0.008258 0.016348 0.028312 0.044372 0.064236 0.089798
2026-01-04 0.002831 0.008041 0.016282 0.028598 0.045241 0.065920 0.092623
2026-01-11 0.002520 0.007622 0.015893 0.028417 0.045487 0.066820 0.094484